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How Elon Musk's prediction that AI will become 'smarter than any human being' by 2025 could come true, according to artificial intelligence expert

Daily Mail - Science & tech

Elon Musk has claimed'AI will be smarter than any human by the end of 2025' - and while that is just one year away, an expert said the prediction may still come true. Nell Watson, an AI expert and ethicist, has shared a detailed timeline of how the tech could transform from chatbots to super intelligent agents over the next 12 months. The path would start with a massive 100 billion investment in new computing infrastructure, then AI would learn how to self-improve until it becomes'conscious.' 'Although one year is a short time frame, remember that only 15 months have passed since ChatGPT's breakthrough, which thrust AI into the public consciousness, she told DailyMail.com. 'Developments continue at a frenetic pace since, and even appear to be rapidly accelerating.' Elon Musk has claimed'AI will be smarter than any human by the end of 2025' - and while that is just one year away, an expert said the prediction may still come true Watson, who is the author of'Taming the Machine: Ethically harness the power of AI,' described superhuman AI as systems that far exceed human capabilities across the board.


The artificial intelligence experts who believe the AI boom could fizzle or even be a new dotcom crash: 'We are starting to see signs it might be a dud'

Daily Mail - Science & tech

Generative AI has been predicted to add trillions to the world economy in a productivity boost never before seen in history (if it doesn't wipe out humanity first). A growing number of sceptics, including some leading AI scientists, are wondering whether the tech might not deliver on its promises to boost the world economy. Goldman Sachs famously predicted that generative AI would bring about'sweeping changes' to the world economy, driving a 7 trillion increase in global GDP and lifting productivity growth by 1.5 percent this decade. Professor Gary Marcus of New York University wrote on Substack that'we are starting to see signs' that generative AI might be a'dud'. Among the warning signs was a report in the Wall Street Journal suggesting that customers found the 30 a month price of Microsoft's new AI-boosted Copilot software too expensive.


DHS recruiting 'AI Corps' to fight fentanyl distribution, online child exploitation and cyberattacks

FOX News

A group of scientists from across the U.S. claim to have created the first artificial intelligence capable of generating AI without human supervision. The Department of Homeland Security is recruiting dozens of artificial intelligence experts for an "AI Corps" that will use the blossoming tech to advance national security goals, Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas announced Tuesday. The 50 experts will be part of a DHS initiative to leverage AI for a variety of efforts, including combating fentanyl distribution, online child exploitation and cyberattacks, according to Mayorkas. He announced the AI Corps alongside DHS Chief Information Officer Eric Hysen at a Mountain View, California, event as the House tried and failed to impeach the secretary. Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas on Tuesday launched a hiring spree for 50 artificial intelligence experts as the House pursued a doomed impeachment case against him.


Experts' cognition-driven safe noisy labels learning for precise segmentation of residual tumor in breast cancer

Yang, Yongquan, Chen, Jie, Wei, Yani, Alobaidi, Mohammad, Bu, Hong

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Residual tumor in breast cancer (RTBC) indicates the tumor that still remains in breast cancer tissue after neoadjuvant chemotherapy, which is an important iatrotechnique in the breast cancer treatment process (Asaoka et al., 2020; Charfare et al., 2005; Mieog et al., 2007; Schott & Hayes, 2012). Commonly, RTBC is associated with invasive ductal carcinoma in which tumor has spread into surrounding breast tissue. Quantitative evaluation of RTBC can provide clues important to prognosis and subsequent therapy of breast cancer (Pu et al., 2020; Yau et al., 2022). The key point of quantitative evaluation of RTBC is to achieve precise segmentation of RTBC (PSRTBC), which is a fundamental key technique in the treatment process of breast cancer, such as be leveraged to calculate the tumor-stroma ratio that has been proven to be a prognostic factor in breast cancer (de Kruijf et al., 2011). Whole sliding imaging (WSI) (Hanna et al., 2020), which was previously referred to as virtual microscopy, involves scanning a pathology glass slide into digital image at high resolution and displaying the digitalized image on a computer screen (Gilbertson & Yagi, 2005; Pantanowitz et al., 2018).


AI expert warns Elon Musk-signed letter doesn't go far enough, says 'literally everyone on Earth will die'

FOX News

Fox News correspondent Matt Finn has the latest on the impact of AI technology that some say could outpace humans on'Special Report.' An artificial intelligence expert with more than two decades of experience studying AI safety said an open letter calling for six-month moratorium on developing powerful AI systems does not go far enough. Eliezer Yudkowsky, a decision theorist at the Machine Intelligence Research Institute, wrote in a recent op-ed that the six-month "pause" on developing "AI systems more powerful than GPT-4" called for by Tesla CEO Elon Musk and hundreds of other innovators and experts understates the "seriousness of the situation." He would go further, implementing a moratorium on new large AI learning models that is "indefinite and worldwide." The letter, issued by the Future of Life Institute and signed by more than 1,000 people, including Musk and Apple co-founder Steve Wozniak, argued that safety protocols need to be developed by independent overseers to guide the future of AI systems.


Explainable AI - AI Summary

#artificialintelligence

More than two dozen artificial intelligence experts from business and academia, including Texas McCombs, explored the importance of understanding how machine learning systems arrive at their conclusions so humans can trust those results. Although AI is more than 50 years old, "deep learning has been a mini-scientific revolution" since the 2010s, said one keynote speaker, Charles Elkan, a professor of computer science at the University of California, San Diego. Alice Xiang, a lawyer and a senior research scientist for Sony Group, said, "I see explainability as an important part of providing transparency and, in turn, enabling accountability." She noted the challenge of black boxes, citing as examples drug-sniffing dogs, whose abilities are mysterious but highly accurate, and the horse Clever Hans, who appeared to understand math but was really following cues from its owner. In a panel discussion called "Adopting AI," James Guszcza, a behavioral research affiliate at Stanford University and chief data scientist on leave from Deloitte LLP, said: "I think one of the previous speakers said we need to be interdisciplinary; I take it a little bit further and say we need to be transdisciplinary."


Artificial Intelligence expert warns that there may already be a 'slightly conscious' AI

Daily Mail - Science & tech

Artificial intelligence, built on large neural networks, are helping solve problems in finance, research and medicine - but could they be reaching consciousness? One expert thinks it is possible that it has already happened. On Wednesday, OpenAI cofounder Ilya Sutskever claimed on Twitter that'it may be that today's largest neural networks are slightly conscious.' He didn't name any specific developments, but is likely referring to the mega-scale neural networks, such as GPT-3, a 175 billion parameter language processing system built by OpenAI for translation, question answering, and filling in missing words. It is also unclear what'slightly conscious' actually means, because the concept of consciousness in artificial intelligence is a controversial idea.


Challenges of Artificial Intelligence -- From Machine Learning and Computer Vision to Emotional Intelligence

Pietikäinen, Matti, Silven, Olli

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence (AI) has become a part of everyday conversation and our lives. It is considered as the new electricity that is revolutionizing the world. AI is heavily invested in both industry and academy. However, there is also a lot of hype in the current AI debate. AI based on so-called deep learning has achieved impressive results in many problems, but its limits are already visible. AI has been under research since the 1940s, and the industry has seen many ups and downs due to over-expectations and related disappointments that have followed. The purpose of this book is to give a realistic picture of AI, its history, its potential and limitations. We believe that AI is a helper, not a ruler of humans. We begin by describing what AI is and how it has evolved over the decades. After fundamentals, we explain the importance of massive data for the current mainstream of artificial intelligence. The most common representations for AI, methods, and machine learning are covered. In addition, the main application areas are introduced. Computer vision has been central to the development of AI. The book provides a general introduction to computer vision, and includes an exposure to the results and applications of our own research. Emotions are central to human intelligence, but little use has been made in AI. We present the basics of emotional intelligence and our own research on the topic. We discuss super-intelligence that transcends human understanding, explaining why such achievement seems impossible on the basis of present knowledge,and how AI could be improved. Finally, a summary is made of the current state of AI and what to do in the future. In the appendix, we look at the development of AI education, especially from the perspective of contents at our own university.


Artificial Intelligence Expert to Speak at WCSU About COVID Data

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Lawrence currently volunteers as the COVID data scientist on Ridgefield's COVID-19 Task Force, providing daily analysis of the latest COVID-19 data to help town officials make science-based policy decisions, and provides periodic analysis of vaccination rates to the Office of the Governor of Connecticut. Lawrence's work has evolved from nuclear science to computer science to machine learning and, most recently, to quantitative finance. He joined IBM Research in Yorktown Heights, New York, in 1987, where he held a number of management positions, most recently as Distinguished Research Staff Member and Senior Manager, Machine Learning & Decision Analytics. From 2016 to 2019, he was president of PCIX, Inc., a New York City venture capital-funded startup that used machine learning to extract quantitative insight on the relationship between private-equity transactions and the performance of public markets. Lawrence received a Bachelor of Science in Chemical Engineering from Stanford University and a doctorate in Nuclear Engineering from the University of Illinois.


Artificial intelligence expert to speak at WCSU about COVID data

#artificialintelligence

Western Connecticut State University Department of Philosophy and Humanistic Studies will present Dr. Rick Lawrence, of Ridgefield, for a discussion, "COVID-19: Perspectives from a Data Scientist," at 5:30 p.m. on Wednesday, Nov. 3, in Room 125 of the Science Building on the university's Midtown campus, 181 White St., Danbury. The talk is free and open to the public in-person (masks must be worn) or virtually through this link. The program is also sponsored by WCSU's Department of Computer Science and Department of Mathematics. Lawrence currently volunteers as the COVID data scientist on Ridgefield's COVID-19 Task Force, providing daily analysis of the latest COVID-19 data to help town officials make science-based policy decisions, and provides periodic analysis of vaccination rates to the Office of the Governor of Connecticut. Lawrence's work has evolved from nuclear science to computer science to machine learning and, most recently, to quantitative finance.